05.18
As many of our customers know, we run each and every one of our cars on Ebay monthly. We do this because Ebay is the cheapest form of international advertising in the world. Where else can you spend 90 bucks and get an ad in front of potential customers all over the planet? Most importantly, behind Google, Ebay is the number one driver of traffic to our website.
That being said, we almost never sell anything on Ebay. Why is that? Simply put, serious classic car buyers simply don’t shop on Ebay. I liken Ebay to a garage sale. If you’re looking for parts, or a project car, or Billy Bob’s 1972 Duster with 218,000 miles, it’s a great place to be. If you’re looking for a top notch classic or high performance car, the pickings are slim.
Because we advertise on Ebay so heavily, we have the privelege of hearing from classic car “market experts” at least five times daily. The common refrain is that collector car values are in a free-fall and that Hemicudas can be had for the price of a can of pork and beans on every corner. Here’s a message we received just today from an Ebayer with the moniker “sidehill_dan”: “You actually looked on the internet lately. I can buy a #1 RS SS 396/375 horse camaro for 30 to 35K”.
When we receive this stuff, we typically shake our heads, delete it and move on. What made Dan’s message so poignant was that not one hour before we received his sage advice, we sold an SS 396/375 HP Camaro TRIBUTE for $45K. After I received Dan’s message, I sent him back a reply that if he could find us 100 investment grade (numbers matching/documented/#1) RS SS 396/375 horse Camaros for $40K a pop, we had 4 million in cash waiting for him.
But Dan’s email is reflective of the current mood of the hobby. Nearly every guy we talk to that has cars for sale, or, as in Dan’s case, guys trolling for turd cars on Ebay, seems to believe that the market is soft and classic cars are dropping in value, with few buyers. Most of the industry magazines have been touting this nonsense for the last couple years and I guess people are actually believing it.
The purpose of today’s blog is to state, emphatically and for the record: if you people that collector car values have fallen and/or are falling, you’re dead wrong.
As in any market, there is “smart money” and “dumb money”. Smart money intellligently pursues high quality cars with all the right stuff. Price is secondary. Dumb money pursues cars that aren’t worth the bargain price they are selling for and would require $80,000.00 in parts and labor to bring them up to the standards of a #1 or strong #2 car.
Best of Show’s sale were up 30% in 2009. In 2010, the lid has absolutely blown off of our sales, with a 43% increase in total sales volume over 2009. Every high dollar investment grade car is getting pounced on as quickly as it comes through the door.
Why? For the same reasons that collector cars have outperformed every asset class in the world over the past 30 years, except for gold. Here’s why:
1. There is a finite supply of collector cars. As with precious metals, the number of investment grade 1969 Camaros doesn’t increase substantially year to year. The supply is fixed.
2. The number of true investment grade cars and outstanding customs is a fraction of the overall supply. Sure, Dan can find a turd 396/375 HP Camaro for $35K. So what? Turd cars are a dime a dozen. But the smart money isn’t buying turd cars. They are buying documented, original drive-train, original sheet-metal, good color combo cars, with high quality restorations or they are buying lights out customs. Pro Touring cars are red-hot.
3. The values of classic cars are tied to their restoration costs. As the costs for material and labor to build a car increases, so does the value of a car that’s ready to show or drive.
4. Unlike stocks, bonds, real estate and cash, classic car values have never been artificially pumped up by cheap and easy credit and professional manipulators. Nearly all classic car sales are 100% cash transactions. No leverage=no artificially created bubble.
Don’t believe me? Check out the HAGI Top Index: http://www.historicautogroup.com/.
Right now, as I write this, the following asset classes are experiencing a boom in prices: precious metals; rare art; precious gemstones; collector cars, and; comic books. Now ask yourself a question: in an era when the socialist governments of the world have spent the economies of their countries into bankruptcy and every paper currency is poised for hyper-inflation, what would you rather have your money in, an investment grade collector car or a pile of freshly minted paper dollars printed by the same clowns who will run up a 1.5 trillion dollar deficit this year, while promising everyone lots of free stuff?
Here’s our take: in 2010, classic cars are going to experience a significant increase in paper money value, as smart money continues to chase hard assets in a big way. This trend is going to continue for years. If you have an investment grade collector car or a super-nice custom and you can’t sell it, or your buddies are telling you the market is down, send it to Best of Show. We’ll sell it for you, quickly, as a top price, and we won’t charge you a penny until I present you with a check.
If you’re a classic car buyer, trade in your soon-to-be worthless paper dollars before the moron politicians and market manipulators run out of ways to prop up the rotting paper empire that has been imploding over the past few years. The smart money is doing just that right now, in anticipation of what is coming.
Or, if you’re dead-set that classic car values are dropping like a stone, we would be happy to buy your investment grade car at a rock bottom price. We have a pile of paper dollars to trade for them and can’t get rid of them fast enough.